FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

223.82 – 108.68

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

265 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 29.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 412.3 ±12.2

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 156.03Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 22.96Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6094Manic Mechanics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 44.83Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 253.7 ±11.7

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 1.03Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 67.4Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

244RoboDawgs 3D

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 40.25Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1918, 5623, 6094

/ 100 compat

Projected

223.8 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1918, 5623, 6094

Auto

30.0 14%

Teleop

120.1 55%

Endgame

68.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7210, 6128, 244

/ 100 compat

Projected

108.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7210, 6128, 244

Auto

18.7 17%

Teleop

56.5 53%

Endgame

31.9 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.31 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score223.8pts

Blue projected score108.7pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115.1
Score range: 76–257
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 392 vs event baseline 184.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

412.3Season APEX253.7

30Auto18.7

120.1Teleop56.5

68.1Endgame31.9

38Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	18
teleop	169	51
endgame	70	58
foul	0	0
total	265	127

Result

Final score

265 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 29.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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