FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

114.49 – 147.09

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.2 ±13.3

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 64.87Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11522Union HS

Season APEX 79.9Event APEX 38.2Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 11.42Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 264.3 ±11

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 19.61Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 34.4Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 93.08Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 141, 11522, 9542

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 141, 11522, 9542

Auto

26.5 28%

Teleop

44.7 48%

Endgame

22.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9671, 4680, 6753

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9671, 4680, 6753

Auto

22.0 15%

Teleop

101.3 68%

Endgame

26.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114.5pts

Blue projected score147.1pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.6
Score range: 81–180
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 279 vs event baseline 185.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

222.2Season APEX264.3

26.5Auto22

44.7Teleop101.3

22.9Endgame26

89Consistency53

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	27
teleop	32	115
endgame	39	40
foul	5	0
total	97	182

Result

Final score

97 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 26.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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