FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

240.5 – 53.11

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

215 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 22.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 331.9 ±11.6

7054SC Sailors

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 114.43Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6114Hamilton CyberHawks

Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 94.83Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

107Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 31.24Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 218.8 ±12.8

9721Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 30Event APEX 1.39Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 33.82Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9754Vestabots

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 17.9Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7054, 6114, 107

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.5 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7054, 6114, 107

Auto

43.7 19%

Teleop

120.7 53%

Endgame

65.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9721, 288, 9754

/ 100 compat

Projected

53.1 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9721, 288, 9754

Auto

13.6 25%

Teleop

37.4 69%

Endgame

2.9 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.49 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score240.5pts

Blue projected score53.1pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 187.4
Score range: 20–274
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 287 vs event baseline 185.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

331.9Season APEX218.8

43.7Auto13.6

120.7Teleop37.4

65.3Endgame2.9

28Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	17
teleop	128	16
endgame	57	34
foul	5	5
total	215	72

Result

Final score

215 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 22.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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