Qualification · Qualification 71
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
145.64 – 420.41
3%97%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
152 – 384
Prediction correct · off by 21.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 212.9 ±12.7
Season APEX 101Event APEX 65.77Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 23.47Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67Event APEX 56.4Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 655.9 ±9.8
Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 73.37Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 189.37Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 157.67Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6128, 11491, 5927
52
/ 100 compatProjected
145.6 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 6128, 11491, 5927
Auto
19.7 13%
Teleop
86.8 59%
Endgame
41.3 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3357, 6090, 1918
86
/ 100 compatProjected
420.4 pts
~2.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3357, 6090, 1918
Auto
77.2 18%
Teleop
243.3 58%
Endgame
100.7 24%
Strengths
- · 6090 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score145.6pts
Blue projected score420.4pts
Red win probability3%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 71%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 9%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -274.8
- Score range
- 113–453
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
212.9Season APEX655.9
19.7Auto77.2
86.8Teleop243.3
41.3Endgame100.7
36Consistency99
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 29 | 23 |
| teleop | 73 | 215 |
| endgame | 40 | 141 |
| foul | 10 | 5 |
| total | 152 | 384 |
Result
Final score
152 – 384
Prediction correct · off by 21.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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