FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

132.57 – 242.85

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

76 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.1 ±12.7

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 35.25Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6877Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 70.62Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 26.7Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 358.4 ±12.4

5470The Cowpunchers

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 18.16Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 198.64Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7248Tactical Hams

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 26.05Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9206, 6877, 5623

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.6 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9206, 6877, 5623

Auto

16.6 13%

Teleop

65.2 51%

Endgame

47.1 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5470, 3539, 7248

/ 100 compat

Projected

242.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5470, 3539, 7248

Auto

43.1 19%

Teleop

121.6 53%

Endgame

66.1 29%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132.6pts

Blue projected score242.9pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -110.3
Score range: 100–276
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 287 vs event baseline 185.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

231.1Season APEX358.4

16.6Auto43.1

65.2Teleop121.6

47.1Endgame66.1

18Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	66
teleop	31	102
endgame	24	38
foul	0	5
total	76	211

Result

Final score

76 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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