FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.72 – 97.01

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

127 – 275

Prediction correct · off by 107.1 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 218.8 ±12.8

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX -Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3425PULSARS

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX -Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5610Turbulence

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 29.14Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 409.4 ±11.2

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX -Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX -Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 35.43Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8397, 3425, 5610

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.7 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8397, 3425, 5610

Auto

31.0 34%

Teleop

40.8 45%

Endgame

18.9 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11491, 2054, 6753

/ 100 compat

Projected

97 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11491, 2054, 6753

Auto

23.3 24%

Teleop

53.9 56%

Endgame

19.7 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.75

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.7pts

Blue projected score97pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.3
Score range: 58–130
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 402 vs event baseline 184.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

218.8Season APEX409.4

12.6Auto4.9

10Teleop23.1

6.6Endgame7.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	38
teleop	66	191
endgame	41	46
foul	0	0
total	127	275

Result

Final score

127 – 275

Prediction correct · off by 107.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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