FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

237.18 – 219.48

55%45%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

143 – 216

Prediction missed · off by 48.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 277.8 ±12.7

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 92.14Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 119.59Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3458Code Blue

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 25.45Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 450.8 ±9.3

244RoboDawgs 3D

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 37.93Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 143.64Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 37.91Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7195, 74, 3458

/ 100 compat

Projected

237.2 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7195, 74, 3458

Auto

36.5 15%

Teleop

129.1 55%

Endgame

70.4 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 244, 3572, 8397

/ 100 compat

Projected

219.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 244, 3572, 8397

Auto

31.8 15%

Teleop

132.5 61%

Endgame

52.5 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score237.2pts

Blue projected score219.5pts

Red win probability55%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 17.7
Score range: 186–270
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 185.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

277.8Season APEX450.8

36.5Auto31.8

129.1Teleop132.5

70.4Endgame52.5

69Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	59
teleop	58	114
endgame	49	38
foul	0	5
total	143	216

Result

Final score

143 – 216

Prediction missed · off by 48.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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