Qualification · Qualification 68
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
75.86 – 225.53
13%87%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
70 – 345
Prediction correct · off by 62.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 306.9 ±12.4
Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 63.94Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 44.5Event APEX -0.74Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 12.66Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 422 ±11.2
Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 77.78Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 20.33Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 127.42Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2619, 7210, 6428
31
/ 100 compatProjected
75.9 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 2619, 7210, 6428
Auto
29.3 49%
Teleop
27.6 47%
Endgame
2.4 4%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 85, 3425, 2054
79
/ 100 compatProjected
225.5 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 85, 3425, 2054
Auto
61.5 28%
Teleop
103.0 47%
Endgame
55.6 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 56%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.87 · Blue 2.43
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score75.9pts
Blue projected score225.5pts
Red win probability13%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 56%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -149.7
- Score range
- 43–259
- Upset likelihood
- 13%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
306.9Season APEX422
29.3Auto61.5
27.6Teleop103
2.4Endgame55.6
43Consistency143
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 57 |
| teleop | 27 | 209 |
| endgame | 12 | 79 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 70 | 345 |
Result
Final score
70 – 345
Prediction correct · off by 62.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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