FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

169.27 – 81.4

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

210 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 370.1 ±12.8

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 7.82Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 153.41Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 8.04Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.7 ±13.9

9754Vestabots

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 16.77Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5610Turbulence

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 23.39Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6094Manic Mechanics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 41.24Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9542, 1918, 5256

/ 100 compat

Projected

169.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9542, 1918, 5256

Auto

44.8 26%

Teleop

84.7 50%

Endgame

40.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9754, 5610, 6094

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.4 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9754, 5610, 6094

Auto

31.6 44%

Teleop

26.0 36%

Endgame

14.4 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score169.3pts

Blue projected score81.4pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 87.9
Score range: 48–202
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 311 vs event baseline 185.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

370.1Season APEX193.7

44.8Auto31.6

84.7Teleop26

40.4Endgame14.4

113Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	26
teleop	139	58
endgame	47	17
foul	5	0
total	210	101

Result

Final score

210 – 101

Prediction correct · off by 30.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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