FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

339.3 – 42.29

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

303 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 29 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 494 ±11.1

6877Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 75.82Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 189.83Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 73.65Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 182.8 ±12.7

9721Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 30Event APEX -0.96Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 15.62Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

107Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 27.63Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6877, 6090, 6128

/ 100 compat

Projected

339.3 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 6877, 6090, 6128

Auto

48.6 14%

Teleop

211.9 63%

Endgame

76.3 23%

Strengths

· 6090 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9721, 9671, 107

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.3 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 9721, 9671, 107

Auto

15.7 31%

Teleop

34.6 68%

Endgame

0.9 2%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.7 · Blue 0.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score339.3pts

Blue projected score42.3pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 297
Score range: 9–372
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 367 vs event baseline 185.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

494Season APEX182.8

48.6Auto15.7

211.9Teleop34.6

76.3Endgame0.9

58Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	22
teleop	150	27
endgame	78	15
foul	0	0
total	303	64

Result

Final score

303 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 29 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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