FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

202.54 – 180.12

57%43%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

265 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 39.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 349.7 ±11

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 26.13Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4003TriSonics

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 90.96Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 85.45Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.5 ±12.7

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 55.3Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 33.81Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 91.01Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 288, 4003, 6753

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 288, 4003, 6753

Auto

30.9 15%

Teleop

123.8 61%

Endgame

46.7 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5927, 9206, 7195

/ 100 compat

Projected

180.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5927, 9206, 7195

Auto

32.8 18%

Teleop

92.4 50%

Endgame

58.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score202.5pts

Blue projected score180.1pts

Red win probability57%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 76%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 22.4
Score range: 147–236
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 462 vs event baseline 184.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

349.7Season APEX226.5

30.9Auto32.8

123.8Teleop92.4

46.7Endgame58.1

74Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	20
teleop	157	107
endgame	58	70
foul	5	0
total	265	197

Result

Final score

265 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 39.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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