FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

378.59 – 84.38

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

251 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 83.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 510.7 ±10.7

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 157.6Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 210.52Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 10.47Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.4 ±12.4

6428STEMINEERS

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 16.57Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5470The Cowpunchers

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 24.37Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

244RoboDawgs 3D

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 43.44Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3572, 3539, 7210

/ 100 compat

Projected

378.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3572, 3539, 7210

Auto

60.8 17%

Teleop

208.1 58%

Endgame

88.1 25%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6428, 5470, 244

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6428, 5470, 244

Auto

15.5 19%

Teleop

41.2 51%

Endgame

23.9 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.65 · Blue 0.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score378.6pts

Blue projected score84.4pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 294.2
Score range: 51–412
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 296 vs event baseline 185.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

510.7Season APEX208.4

60.8Auto15.5

208.1Teleop41.2

88.1Endgame23.9

95Consistency37

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	16
teleop	144	24
endgame	77	5
foul	0	0
total	251	45

Result

Final score

251 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 83.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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