FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

206.27 – 96.94

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

238 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 306.6 ±12.2

7054SC Sailors

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 109.12Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 62.35Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6094Manic Mechanics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 34.8Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 210.8 ±12.8

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 27.42Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3458Code Blue

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 27.69Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 41.83Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7054, 141, 6094

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.3 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 7054, 141, 6094

Auto

41.5 22%

Teleop

96.3 50%

Endgame

54.5 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11491, 3458, 8397

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.9 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 11491, 3458, 8397

Auto

20.4 19%

Teleop

54.3 52%

Endgame

30.1 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.35 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score206.3pts

Blue projected score96.9pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 109.3
Score range: 64–239
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 321 vs event baseline 185.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

306.6Season APEX210.8

41.5Auto20.4

96.3Teleop54.3

54.5Endgame30.1

70Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	19
teleop	122	34
endgame	13	30
foul	45	0
total	238	83

Result

Final score

238 – 83

Prediction correct · off by 22.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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