FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

244.98 – 110.75

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

295 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 437.6 ±10.5

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 123.62Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 29.48Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6114Hamilton CyberHawks

Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 91.88Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 259.2 ±12.8

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 8.06Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7248Tactical Hams

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 29.56Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 73.13Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2054, 4680, 6114

/ 100 compat

Projected

245 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 2054, 4680, 6114

Auto

42.2 17%

Teleop

142.8 58%

Endgame

60.1 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5256, 7248, 85

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.8 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5256, 7248, 85

Auto

40.9 39%

Teleop

35.0 34%

Endgame

28.2 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score245pts

Blue projected score110.8pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 134.2
Score range: 78–278
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 416 vs event baseline 185.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

437.6Season APEX259.2

42.2Auto40.9

142.8Teleop35

60.1Endgame28.2

78Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	28
teleop	166	53
endgame	88	35
foul	0	5
total	295	121

Result

Final score

295 – 121

Prediction correct · off by 30.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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