FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.44 – 148.89

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 189

Prediction correct · off by 29.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 150.9 ±13.9

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 5.42Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5470The Cowpunchers

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 23.37Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5610Turbulence

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 22.65Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 233.2 ±12.7

4003TriSonics

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 84.99Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9721Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 30Event APEX -7.66Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 71.56Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9542, 5470, 5610

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9542, 5470, 5610

Auto

31.3 56%

Teleop

20.5 36%

Endgame

4.4 8%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4003, 9721, 6128

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4003, 9721, 6128

Auto

15.7 10%

Teleop

91.6 61%

Endgame

42.5 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.13 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score51.4pts

Blue projected score148.9pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -97.4
Score range: 17–183
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 260 vs event baseline 186.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

150.9Season APEX233.2

31.3Auto15.7

20.5Teleop91.6

4.4Endgame42.5

91Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	13
teleop	30	114
endgame	12	62
foul	5	0
total	71	189

Result

Final score

71 – 189

Prediction correct · off by 29.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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