FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

117.71 – 151.84

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

95 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.4 ±13.3

9754Vestabots

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 17.09Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6114Hamilton CyberHawks

Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 85.64Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5470The Cowpunchers

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 14.98Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.9 ±11.1

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 69.49Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 25.55Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 56.8Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9754, 6114, 5470

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9754, 6114, 5470

Auto

22.4 19%

Teleop

60.9 51%

Endgame

35.2 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6128, 9671, 2619

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6128, 9671, 2619

Auto

40.0 29%

Teleop

79.5 57%

Endgame

19.8 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score117.7pts

Blue projected score151.8pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -34.1
Score range: 83–187
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 272 vs event baseline 192.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.4Season APEX379.9

22.4Auto40

60.9Teleop79.5

35.2Endgame19.8

40Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	34
teleop	44	127
endgame	32	16
foul	0	0
total	95	177

Result

Final score

95 – 177

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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