Qualification · Qualification 59
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
223.78 – 118.38
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
260 – 98
Prediction correct · off by 28.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 400 ±12.4
Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 8.07Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 32.6Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 183.11Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 208.1 ±13.3
Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 78.72Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 21.27Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 18.39Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7210, 9206, 6090
73
/ 100 compatProjected
223.8 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 7210, 9206, 6090
Auto
49.8 23%
Teleop
117.7 54%
Endgame
51.3 23%
Strengths
- · 6090 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6877, 3425, 9754
54
/ 100 compatProjected
118.4 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6877, 3425, 9754
Auto
27.4 24%
Teleop
55.6 49%
Endgame
31.3 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.24 · Blue 1.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score223.8pts
Blue projected score118.4pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 61%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 105.4
- Score range
- 84–258
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
400Season APEX208.1
49.8Auto27.4
117.7Teleop55.6
51.3Endgame31.3
48Consistency88
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 43 | 21 |
| teleop | 159 | 29 |
| endgame | 58 | 38 |
| foul | 0 | 10 |
| total | 260 | 98 |
Result
Final score
260 – 98
Prediction correct · off by 28.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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