FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

268.12 – 243.18

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

410 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 82.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 538.9 ±10.7

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 50.55Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11522Union HS

Season APEX 79.9Event APEX 20.35Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 197.22Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 375.3 ±11.7

6094Manic Mechanics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 33.52Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 156.14Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 53.52Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2619, 11522, 3539

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2619, 11522, 3539

Auto

48.5 19%

Teleop

133.5 52%

Endgame

76.7 30%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6094, 3572, 5927

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6094, 3572, 5927

Auto

35.5 15%

Teleop

141.1 60%

Endgame

57.7 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score268.1pts

Blue projected score243.2pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 24.9
Score range: 210–301
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 676 vs event baseline 183.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

538.9Season APEX375.3

48.5Auto35.5

133.5Teleop141.1

76.7Endgame57.7

56Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	80	43
teleop	144	136
endgame	51	87
foul	135	0
total	410	266

Result

Final score

410 – 266

Prediction correct · off by 82.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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