Qualification · Qualification 56
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
136.59 – 276.58
15%85%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
123 – 287
Prediction correct · off by 12 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 74.13Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80Event APEX 31.93Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 30.53Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 462.8 ±11.1
Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 124.45Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 30.73Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 121.4Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 85, 5623, 11491
50
/ 100 compatProjected
136.6 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 85, 5623, 11491
Auto
25.0 19%
Teleop
79.1 59%
Endgame
29.0 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2054, 107, 74
84
/ 100 compatProjected
276.6 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2054, 107, 74
Auto
51.1 19%
Teleop
165.0 61%
Endgame
54.2 20%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score136.6pts
Blue projected score276.6pts
Red win probability15%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -140
- Score range
- 104–310
- Upset likelihood
- 15%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
250.3Season APEX462.8
25Auto51.1
79.1Teleop165
29Endgame54.2
38Consistency84
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 47 | 59 |
| teleop | 28 | 159 |
| endgame | 43 | 69 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 123 | 287 |
Result
Final score
123 – 287
Prediction correct · off by 12 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.