Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

136.59276.58

15%85%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

123287

Prediction correct · off by 12 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.3 ±12.2
Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 74.13Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 80Event APEX 31.93Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 30.53Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 462.8 ±11.1
Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 124.45Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 30.73Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 121.4Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 85, 5623, 11491
50
/ 100 compat
Projected
136.6 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 85, 5623, 11491
Auto
25.0 19%
Teleop
79.1 59%
Endgame
29.0 22%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2054, 107, 74
84
/ 100 compat
Projected
276.6 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 2054, 107, 74
Auto
51.1 19%
Teleop
165.0 61%
Endgame
54.2 20%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 59%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.93 · Blue 2.42
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score136.6pts
Blue projected score276.6pts
Red win probability15%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 59%, blue 66%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-140
Score range
104310
Upset likelihood
15%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 410 vs event baseline 183.7.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250.3Season APEX462.8
25Auto51.1
79.1Teleop165
29Endgame54.2
38Consistency84

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto4759
teleop28159
endgame4369
foul50
total123287

Result

Final score

123287

Prediction correct · off by 12 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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