FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

246.07 – 218.27

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

237 – 264

Prediction missed · off by 27.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 323.9 ±11.6

6114Hamilton CyberHawks

Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 94.63Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 85.73Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 65.71Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 400.5 ±11.2

244RoboDawgs 3D

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 41.91Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3458Code Blue

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 26.04Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 150.32Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6114, 6753, 141

/ 100 compat

Projected

246.1 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6114, 6753, 141

Auto

22.2 9%

Teleop

147.5 63%

Endgame

65.3 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 244, 3458, 1918

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 244, 3458, 1918

Auto

38.2 17%

Teleop

118.3 54%

Endgame

61.8 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score246.1pts

Blue projected score218.3pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.8
Score range: 185–279
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 501 vs event baseline 182.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

323.9Season APEX400.5

22.2Auto38.2

147.5Teleop118.3

65.3Endgame61.8

45Consistency68

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	22
teleop	146	128
endgame	51	109
foul	0	5
total	237	264

Result

Final score

237 – 264

Prediction missed · off by 27.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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