FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

262.88 – 100.71

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

164 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 57.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 473.1 ±11.2

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 197.46Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 38.71Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6428STEMINEERS

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 26.71Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.4 ±11.7

6094Manic Mechanics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 31.76Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 28.62Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 40.33Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6090, 288, 6428

/ 100 compat

Projected

262.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6090, 288, 6428

Auto

49.8 20%

Teleop

159.5 63%

Endgame

45.1 18%

Strengths

· 6090 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6094, 4680, 8397

/ 100 compat

Projected

100.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6094, 4680, 8397

Auto

16.8 16%

Teleop

59.2 57%

Endgame

28.4 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score262.9pts

Blue projected score100.7pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 162.2
Score range: 68–296
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 281 vs event baseline 183.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

473.1Season APEX286.4

49.8Auto16.8

159.5Teleop59.2

45.1Endgame28.4

78Consistency17

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	25
teleop	90	39
endgame	24	43
foul	0	10
total	164	117

Result

Final score

164 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 57.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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