Qualification · Qualification 52
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
201.44 – 97.11
79%21%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
266 – 34
Prediction correct · off by 63.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 377.9 ±11.2
Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 149.03Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 30Event APEX -14.5Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 66.91Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 165.3 ±13.3
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 40.59Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 21.58Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 34.94Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3572, 9721, 85
74
/ 100 compatProjected
201.4 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 3572, 9721, 85
Auto
43.4 21%
Teleop
110.7 54%
Endgame
49.2 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9206, 9671, 11491
38
/ 100 compatProjected
97.1 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 9206, 9671, 11491
Auto
32.4 33%
Teleop
59.5 60%
Endgame
7.4 7%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 57%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.19 · Blue 1.08
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score201.4pts
Blue projected score97.1pts
Red win probability79%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 57%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 104.3
- Score range
- 64–234
- Upset likelihood
- 21%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
377.9Season APEX165.3
43.4Auto32.4
110.7Teleop59.5
49.2Endgame7.4
145Consistency38
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 35 | 20 |
| teleop | 164 | 5 |
| endgame | 47 | 9 |
| foul | 20 | 0 |
| total | 266 | 34 |
Result
Final score
266 – 34
Prediction correct · off by 63.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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