FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

187.57 – 151.32

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

241 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 372.9 ±11.7

7248Tactical Hams

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 20.57Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 47.84Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 119.16Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 238.3 ±12.7

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 59.48Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 70.47Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5610Turbulence

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 21.37Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7248, 5927, 2054

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7248, 5927, 2054

Auto

38.5 21%

Teleop

100.7 54%

Endgame

46.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 141, 6128, 5610

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 141, 6128, 5610

Auto

22.4 17%

Teleop

92.9 70%

Endgame

17.1 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.94 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score187.6pts

Blue projected score151.3pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.3
Score range: 118–221
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 423 vs event baseline 183.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

372.9Season APEX238.3

38.5Auto22.4

100.7Teleop92.9

46Endgame17.1

77Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	19
teleop	142	97
endgame	48	66
foul	0	0
total	241	182

Result

Final score

241 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 42.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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