FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

147.96 – 244.04

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

171 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 25 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 287.4 ±11.7

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 85.77Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6428STEMINEERS

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 23.76Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 38.43Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 413.4 ±10.5

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 26.04Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 191.92Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

107Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 26.08Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6753, 6428, 8397

/ 100 compat

Projected

148 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6753, 6428, 8397

Auto

17.1 12%

Teleop

93.7 67%

Endgame

29.4 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4680, 3539, 107

/ 100 compat

Projected

244 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4680, 3539, 107

Auto

55.5 23%

Teleop

130.5 53%

Endgame

58.0 24%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 2.14

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score148pts

Blue projected score244pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -96.1
Score range: 115–277
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 442 vs event baseline 183.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

287.4Season APEX413.4

17.1Auto55.5

93.7Teleop130.5

29.4Endgame58

29Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	12
teleop	104	161
endgame	45	98
foul	0	0
total	171	271

Result

Final score

171 – 271

Prediction correct · off by 25 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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