FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

397.2 – 289.45

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

451 – 353

Prediction correct · off by 58.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 650.6 ±8.7

244RoboDawgs 3D

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 50.61Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 178.19Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 168.4Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 433.2 ±11.7

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 29.27Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7054SC Sailors

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 115.99Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 144.19Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 244, 3539, 6090

/ 100 compat

Projected

397.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 244, 3539, 6090

Auto

87.0 23%

Teleop

210.0 55%

Endgame

84.8 22%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9206, 7054, 1918

/ 100 compat

Projected

289.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 9206, 7054, 1918

Auto

42.9 15%

Teleop

155.5 54%

Endgame

90.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.35 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score397.2pts

Blue projected score289.5pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 107.8
Score range: 254–432
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 804 vs event baseline 192.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

650.6Season APEX433.2

87Auto42.9

210Teleop155.5

84.8Endgame90.7

60Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	54
teleop	256	163
endgame	116	136
foul	10	0
total	451	353

Result

Final score

451 – 353

Prediction correct · off by 58.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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