FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.47 – 185.17

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

49 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 63.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 232.7 ±12.4

3425PULSARS

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 25.81Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

244RoboDawgs 3D

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 38.95Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 14.71Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 368.9 ±11.7

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 15.45Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 68.6Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4003TriSonics

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 101.12Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3425, 244, 5256

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3425, 244, 5256

Auto

26.7 38%

Teleop

24.1 34%

Endgame

20.3 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9542, 2619, 4003

/ 100 compat

Projected

185.2 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9542, 2619, 4003

Auto

43.1 24%

Teleop

89.2 50%

Endgame

45.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score79.5pts

Blue projected score185.2pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -105.7
Score range: 46–218
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 138 vs event baseline 185.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

232.7Season APEX368.9

26.7Auto43.1

24.1Teleop89.2

20.3Endgame45.3

94Consistency123

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	56
teleop	10	28
endgame	14	5
foul	5	0
total	49	89

Result

Final score

49 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 63.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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