FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

185.04 – 257.81

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

184 – 233

Prediction correct · off by 12.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 346.9 ±12.4

3458Code Blue

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 22.74Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 119.17Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 43.13Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 458.6 ±11.7

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 205.56Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 35.43Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11522Union HS

Season APEX 79.9Event APEX 16.82Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3458, 2054, 9206

/ 100 compat

Projected

185 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3458, 2054, 9206

Auto

40.1 20%

Teleop

101.9 52%

Endgame

54.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6090, 5623, 11522

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6090, 5623, 11522

Auto

41.2 16%

Teleop

139.6 55%

Endgame

71.3 28%

Strengths

· 6090 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score185pts

Blue projected score257.8pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -72.8
Score range: 152–291
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 417 vs event baseline 183.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

346.9Season APEX458.6

40.1Auto41.2

101.9Teleop139.6

54.3Endgame71.3

109Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	15
teleop	68	140
endgame	51	53
foul	25	25
total	184	233

Result

Final score

184 – 233

Prediction correct · off by 12.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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