Qualification · Qualification 46
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
115.05 – 94.77
56%44%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
47 – 94
Prediction missed · off by 34.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.3 ±13.9
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 42.93Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 43.98Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 28.14Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177.7 ±12.7
Season APEX 67Event APEX 48.98Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 21.3Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 24.49Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6094, 11491, 7248
48
/ 100 compatProjected
115.1 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6094, 11491, 7248
Auto
31.3 27%
Teleop
63.5 54%
Endgame
22.5 19%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5927, 6428, 9671
35
/ 100 compatProjected
94.8 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5927, 6428, 9671
Auto
13.1 15%
Teleop
68.5 79%
Endgame
5.6 6%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score115.1pts
Blue projected score94.8pts
Red win probability56%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 70%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 20.3
- Score range
- 62–148
- Upset likelihood
- 44%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
192.3Season APEX177.7
31.3Auto13.1
63.5Teleop68.5
22.5Endgame5.6
32Consistency75
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 21 |
| teleop | 12 | 52 |
| endgame | 14 | 21 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 47 | 94 |
Result
Final score
47 – 94
Prediction missed · off by 34.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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