Skip to content
Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

115.0594.77

56%44%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

4794

Prediction missed · off by 34.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.3 ±13.9
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 42.93Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 43.98Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 28.14Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 177.7 ±12.7
Season APEX 67Event APEX 48.98Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 21.3Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 24.49Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6094, 11491, 7248
48
/ 100 compat
Projected
115.1 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 6094, 11491, 7248
Auto
31.3 27%
Teleop
63.5 54%
Endgame
22.5 19%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5927, 6428, 9671
35
/ 100 compat
Projected
94.8 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5927, 6428, 9671
Auto
13.1 15%
Teleop
68.5 79%
Endgame
5.6 6%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.86 · Blue 1.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score115.1pts
Blue projected score94.8pts
Red win probability56%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 70%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
20.3
Score range
62148
Upset likelihood
44%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 141 vs event baseline 185.5.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192.3Season APEX177.7
31.3Auto13.1
63.5Teleop68.5
22.5Endgame5.6
32Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto2121
teleop1252
endgame1421
foul00
total4794

Result

Final score

4794

Prediction missed · off by 34.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.