FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

140.51 – 293.79

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

181 – 356

Prediction correct · off by 51.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 287.9 ±12.2

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 67.05Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9754Vestabots

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 11.06Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 62.4Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 466.5 ±10.5

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 30.55Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 85.69Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 177.55Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 85, 9754, 6128

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 85, 9754, 6128

Auto

38.2 28%

Teleop

68.3 50%

Endgame

31.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8397, 7195, 3539

/ 100 compat

Projected

293.8 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8397, 7195, 3539

Auto

54.3 18%

Teleop

171.9 58%

Endgame

68.3 23%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 2.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score140.5pts

Blue projected score293.8pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -153.3
Score range: 108–327
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 537 vs event baseline 183.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

287.9Season APEX466.5

38.2Auto54.3

68.3Teleop171.9

31.4Endgame68.3

45Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	73
teleop	95	179
endgame	48	104
foul	5	0
total	181	356

Result

Final score

181 – 356

Prediction correct · off by 51.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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