FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

131.87 – 164.38

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

103 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 50.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 214.4 ±12.8

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 81.31Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 19.75Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3425PULSARS

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 30.81Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.8 ±12.2

5470The Cowpunchers

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 14.49Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

107Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 11.5Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 138.39Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3357, 9542, 3425

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.9 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3357, 9542, 3425

Auto

33.4 25%

Teleop

64.0 49%

Endgame

34.3 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5470, 107, 1918

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.4 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5470, 107, 1918

Auto

31.4 19%

Teleop

83.7 51%

Endgame

50.2 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score131.9pts

Blue projected score164.4pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.5
Score range: 99–197
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 339 vs event baseline 184.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

214.4Season APEX388.8

33.4Auto31.4

64Teleop83.7

34.3Endgame50.2

162Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	63
teleop	13	118
endgame	39	55
foul	0	0
total	103	236

Result

Final score

103 – 236

Prediction correct · off by 50.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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