Qualification · Qualification 41
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
186.99 – 161.89
58%42%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
150 – 115
Prediction correct · off by 41.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 284.5 ±11.2
Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 33.58Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 42.59Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 110.82Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 284.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 14.54Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 55.42Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 91.93Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5610, 244, 7054
63
/ 100 compatProjected
187 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5610, 244, 7054
Auto
41.0 23%
Teleop
82.3 46%
Endgame
54.5 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7210, 288, 6114
58
/ 100 compatProjected
161.9 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7210, 288, 6114
Auto
19.9 13%
Teleop
93.9 60%
Endgame
43.4 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 68%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score187pts
Blue projected score161.9pts
Red win probability58%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 68%, blue 67%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 25.1
- Score range
- 129–220
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
284.5Season APEX284.6
41Auto19.9
82.3Teleop93.9
54.5Endgame43.4
38Consistency80
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 49 | 22 |
| teleop | 61 | 51 |
| endgame | 10 | 42 |
| foul | 30 | 0 |
| total | 150 | 115 |
Result
Final score
150 – 115
Prediction correct · off by 41.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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