FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 40

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

222.35 – 129.72

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

220 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 342.2 ±12.4

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 16.78Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6428STEMINEERS

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 26.81Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 178.76Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.8 ±11.7

11522Union HS

Season APEX 79.9Event APEX 18.24Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 103.54Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 7.94Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9542, 6428, 3539

/ 100 compat

Projected

222.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 9542, 6428, 3539

Auto

39.0 18%

Teleop

118.6 55%

Endgame

57.1 27%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11522, 2054, 9671

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 11522, 2054, 9671

Auto

43.9 32%

Teleop

69.6 52%

Endgame

21.6 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.17 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score222.4pts

Blue projected score129.7pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.6
Score range: 97–255
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 428 vs event baseline 183.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

342.2Season APEX387.8

39Auto43.9

118.6Teleop69.6

57.1Endgame21.6

112Consistency109

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	45
teleop	115	109
endgame	34	54
foul	5	0
total	220	208

Result

Final score

220 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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