FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.15 – 214.28

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 27.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.5 ±13.3

107Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 34.99Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6094Manic Mechanics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 51.83Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 5.33Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 293.1 ±12.7

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 105.35Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4003TriSonics

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 83.55Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7248Tactical Hams

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 25.38Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 107, 6094, 7210

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.1 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 107, 6094, 7210

Auto

19.6 22%

Teleop

39.8 45%

Endgame

29.8 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 74, 4003, 7248

/ 100 compat

Projected

214.3 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 74, 4003, 7248

Auto

38.2 18%

Teleop

111.3 53%

Endgame

61.4 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.02 · Blue 2.46

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score92.1pts

Blue projected score214.3pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 76%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -122.1
Score range: 57–249
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 192.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

219.5Season APEX293.1

19.6Auto38.2

39.8Teleop111.3

29.8Endgame61.4

51Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	26
teleop	19	128
endgame	22	75
foul	5	15
total	66	244

Result

Final score

66 – 244

Prediction correct · off by 27.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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