FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

252.82 – 128.14

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

204 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 56 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 492 ±10.4

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 149.1Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 30.72Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 73Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 236.2 ±12.1

107Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 19.31Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 58.79Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 50.04Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1918, 8397, 85

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1918, 8397, 85

Auto

49.4 19%

Teleop

145.6 55%

Endgame

70.6 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 107, 5927, 5623

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.1 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 107, 5927, 5623

Auto

5.7 5%

Teleop

85.9 72%

Endgame

28.1 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score252.8pts

Blue projected score128.1pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 124.7
Score range: 95–286
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 269 vs event baseline 185.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

492Season APEX236.2

49.4Auto5.7

145.6Teleop85.9

70.6Endgame28.1

63Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	12
teleop	96	36
endgame	58	17
foul	0	0
total	204	65

Result

Final score

204 – 65

Prediction correct · off by 56 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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