FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

115.23 – 0

83%17%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

145 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 50.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 225.8 ±13.3

9754Vestabots

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 5.32Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 79.12Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7248Tactical Hams

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 30.79Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 128.1 ±13.9

3425PULSARS

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 19.3Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3458Code Blue

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX -5.01Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9721Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 30Event APEX -23.78Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9754, 7195, 7248

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.2 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9754, 7195, 7248

Auto

36.7 32%

Teleop

53.9 46%

Endgame

25.6 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3425, 3458, 9721

/ 100 compat

Projected

-9.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3425, 3458, 9721

Auto

2.2 0%

Teleop

-14.3 100%

Endgame

9.1 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score115.2pts

Blue projected score-9.5pts

Red win probability83%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 115.2
Score range: -34–149
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 217 vs event baseline 187.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

225.8Season APEX128.1

36.7Auto2.2

53.9Teleop-14.3

25.6Endgame9.1

21Consistency175

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	18
teleop	63	26
endgame	33	28
foul	0	0
total	145	72

Result

Final score

145 – 72

Prediction correct · off by 50.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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