FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

272.98 – 167.23

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

364 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 443.7 ±10.5

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 76.51Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 143.95Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 52.52Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.3 ±12.8

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 11.9Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7054SC Sailors

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 106.33Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 49Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6753, 3572, 6128

/ 100 compat

Projected

273 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6753, 3572, 6128

Auto

35.1 13%

Teleop

185.3 69%

Endgame

48.0 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7210, 7054, 11491

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.2 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7210, 7054, 11491

Auto

40.3 26%

Teleop

82.5 52%

Endgame

35.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.35 · Blue 1.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score273pts

Blue projected score167.2pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 73%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 105.8
Score range: 134–306
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 527 vs event baseline 185.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

443.7Season APEX219.3

35.1Auto40.3

185.3Teleop82.5

48Endgame35.1

138Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	45
teleop	207	83
endgame	82	30
foul	35	5
total	364	163

Result

Final score

364 – 163

Prediction correct · off by 47.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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