FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

178.51 – 228.79

35%65%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

240 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 40.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 293.1 ±12.2

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 100.94Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 70.7Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5470The Cowpunchers

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 6.87Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 451.4 ±11.2

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 212.64Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX -1.78Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 17.93Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 74, 3357, 5470

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 74, 3357, 5470

Auto

29.0 17%

Teleop

114.2 68%

Endgame

24.6 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6090, 5256, 4680

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 6090, 5256, 4680

Auto

48.4 23%

Teleop

134.0 63%

Endgame

30.7 14%

Strengths

· 6090 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.46 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score178.5pts

Blue projected score228.8pts

Red win probability35%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -50.3
Score range: 146–262
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 488 vs event baseline 183.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

293.1Season APEX451.4

29Auto48.4

114.2Teleop134

24.6Endgame30.7

79Consistency181

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	62
teleop	123	133
endgame	86	53
foul	0	0
total	240	248

Result

Final score

240 – 248

Prediction correct · off by 40.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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