FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

266.86 – 186.49

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

287 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 49.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 456.8 ±11.2

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 169.58Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6094Manic Mechanics

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 49.52Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 47.76Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 310.6 ±11.6

6877Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 78.64Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 59.36Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 48.49Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3539, 6094, 288

/ 100 compat

Projected

266.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3539, 6094, 288

Auto

37.2 14%

Teleop

160.1 60%

Endgame

70.2 26%

Strengths

· 3539 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6877, 85, 141

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6877, 85, 141

Auto

45.2 26%

Teleop

103.0 58%

Endgame

28.1 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.26 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score266.9pts

Blue projected score186.5pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 75%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 80.4
Score range: 154–299
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 552 vs event baseline 180.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

456.8Season APEX310.6

37.2Auto45.2

160.1Teleop103

70.2Endgame28.1

62Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	66	40
teleop	129	131
endgame	87	94
foul	5	0
total	287	265

Result

Final score

287 – 265

Prediction correct · off by 49.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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