FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

131.82 – 151.13

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

50 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 63.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 153.5 ±13.9

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 59.2Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9754Vestabots

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 24.68Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6428STEMINEERS

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 47.94Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 261.3 ±12.2

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 45.26Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7054SC Sailors

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 96.58Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9542Technodogs

Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 9.29Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11491, 9754, 6428

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 11491, 9754, 6428

Auto

33.7 28%

Teleop

81.4 69%

Endgame

3.3 3%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5623, 7054, 9542

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5623, 7054, 9542

Auto

29.2 23%

Teleop

55.0 43%

Endgame

43.1 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score131.8pts

Blue projected score151.1pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.3
Score range: 99–184
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 247 vs event baseline 181.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

153.5Season APEX261.3

33.7Auto29.2

81.4Teleop55

3.3Endgame43.1

30Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	34
teleop	21	111
endgame	10	52
foul	0	0
total	50	197

Result

Final score

50 – 197

Prediction correct · off by 63.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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