FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

0 – 88.9

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

20 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 16 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 127.6 ±13.9

5470The Cowpunchers

Season APEX 53.1Event APEX 1.83Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7210RoboJackets 7210

Season APEX 44.5Event APEX 11.64Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9721Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 30Event APEX -27.75Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.1 ±13.3

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX 8.84Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5927Globetrotters

Season APEX 67Event APEX 62.41Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11522Union HS

Season APEX 79.9Event APEX 17.65Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5470, 7210, 9721

/ 100 compat

Projected

-14.3 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5470, 7210, 9721

Auto

3.3 0%

Teleop

-33.5 100%

Endgame

22.0 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5256, 5927, 11522

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5256, 5927, 11522

Auto

5.4 7%

Teleop

39.2 48%

Endgame

37.1 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score-14.3pts

Blue projected score88.9pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.9
Score range: -34–123
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 97 vs event baseline 186.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

127.6Season APEX219.1

3.3Auto5.4

-33.5Teleop39.2

22Endgame37.1

111Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	22
teleop	11	28
endgame	2	27
foul	0	0
total	20	77

Result

Final score

20 – 77

Prediction correct · off by 16 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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