FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

353.86 – 136.16

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

376 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 28.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 548.1 ±10.5

8397Astrobots

Season APEX 120.1Event APEX 34.13Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 105.96Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6090Wayland Wildcats

A+

Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 213.77Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 212.4 ±12.8

3458Code Blue

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 6.32Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5610Turbulence

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 43.58Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6753CBA RoboKings

Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 86.26Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8397, 74, 6090

/ 100 compat

Projected

353.9 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8397, 74, 6090

Auto

40.4 12%

Teleop

230.5 66%

Endgame

75.8 22%

Strengths

· 6090 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3458, 5610, 6753

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3458, 5610, 6753

Auto

11.4 8%

Teleop

94.3 69%

Endgame

31.9 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.68 · Blue 0.84

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score353.9pts

Blue projected score136.2pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 217.7
Score range: 103–387
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 478 vs event baseline 184.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

548.1Season APEX212.4

40.4Auto11.4

230.5Teleop94.3

75.8Endgame31.9

140Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	72	27
teleop	249	43
endgame	55	32
foul	0	0
total	376	102

Result

Final score

376 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 28.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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