Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

120.48146.08

42%58%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

92202

Prediction correct · off by 42.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.5 ±11.2
Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 23.12Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 39.66Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 57.7Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 297.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 101Event APEX 44.05Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 41.52Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 60.51Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4680, 244, 9206
49
/ 100 compat
Projected
120.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4680, 244, 9206
Auto
26.3 22%
Teleop
55.2 47%
Endgame
35.6 30%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6128, 6094, 3357
56
/ 100 compat
Projected
146.1 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 6128, 6094, 3357
Auto
38.8 26%
Teleop
90.6 60%
Endgame
21.4 14%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin endgame coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score120.5pts
Blue projected score146.1pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 79%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-25.6
Score range
87179
Upset likelihood
42%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 294 vs event baseline 185.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.5Season APEX297.5
26.3Auto38.8
55.2Teleop90.6
35.6Endgame21.4
80Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1827
teleop47112
endgame2748
foul015
total92202

Result

Final score

92202

Prediction correct · off by 42.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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