Qualification · Qualification 30
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
120.48 – 146.08
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
92 – 202
Prediction correct · off by 42.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.5 ±11.2
Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 23.12Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 39.66Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 57.7Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 297.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 101Event APEX 44.05Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 41.52Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 60.51Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4680, 244, 9206
49
/ 100 compatProjected
120.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 4680, 244, 9206
Auto
26.3 22%
Teleop
55.2 47%
Endgame
35.6 30%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6128, 6094, 3357
56
/ 100 compatProjected
146.1 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 6128, 6094, 3357
Auto
38.8 26%
Teleop
90.6 60%
Endgame
21.4 14%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 55%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.44 · Blue 1.99
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score120.5pts
Blue projected score146.1pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 55%, blue 79%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -25.6
- Score range
- 87–179
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
245.5Season APEX297.5
26.3Auto38.8
55.2Teleop90.6
35.6Endgame21.4
80Consistency97
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 27 |
| teleop | 47 | 112 |
| endgame | 27 | 48 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 92 | 202 |
Result
Final score
92 – 202
Prediction correct · off by 42.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.