FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

137.45 – 154.13

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

77 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 56.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 220 ±13.3

3458Code Blue

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX 19.77Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6877Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 68.3Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11522Union HS

Season APEX 79.9Event APEX 49.38Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.3 ±11.7

5610Turbulence

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 11.72Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

85B.O.B. (Built on Brains)

Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 96.8Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4680AzTech Eagles

Season APEX 80.5Event APEX 45.61Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3458, 6877, 11522

/ 100 compat

Projected

137.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3458, 6877, 11522

Auto

19.7 16%

Teleop

46.1 37%

Endgame

57.7 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5610, 85, 4680

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.1 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5610, 85, 4680

Auto

32.9 22%

Teleop

77.1 51%

Endgame

40.0 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score137.5pts

Blue projected score154.1pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -16.7
Score range: 102–189
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 179 vs event baseline 192.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

220Season APEX252.3

19.7Auto32.9

46.1Teleop77.1

57.7Endgame40

52Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	44
teleop	37	35
endgame	26	23
foul	0	0
total	77	102

Result

Final score

77 – 102

Prediction correct · off by 56.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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