FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

247.87 – 228.55

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

250 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 380.4 ±11.1

6877Mechanical Mustangs

Season APEX 94.3Event APEX 83.11Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 133.68Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 31.08Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360.4 ±12.8

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 160.35Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7248Tactical Hams

Season APEX 61.6Event APEX 36.47Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3425PULSARS

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 31.73Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6877, 3572, 9671

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6877, 3572, 9671

Auto

41.6 16%

Teleop

166.4 65%

Endgame

47.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1918, 7248, 3425

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1918, 7248, 3425

Auto

40.6 18%

Teleop

107.1 47%

Endgame

81.5 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.81 · Blue 1.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score247.9pts

Blue projected score228.6pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 19.3
Score range: 196–281
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 422 vs event baseline 184.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

380.4Season APEX360.4

41.6Auto40.6

166.4Teleop107.1

47.6Endgame81.5

108Consistency137

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	35
teleop	153	93
endgame	28	44
foul	15	0
total	250	172

Result

Final score

250 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 29.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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