FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

161.71 – 244.92

26%74%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

136 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 27.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.2 ±11.6

107Team R.O.B.O.T.I.C.S.

Season APEX 89.2Event APEX 20.53Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 88.23Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 52.95Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 550.5 ±9.9

2619The Charge

Season APEX 215.3Event APEX 79.92Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 48.12Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2054Tech Vikes

Season APEX 244.3Event APEX 116.88Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 107, 7195, 288

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 107, 7195, 288

Auto

37.8 22%

Teleop

107.1 63%

Endgame

24.7 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2619, 141, 2054

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.9 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2619, 141, 2054

Auto

40.9 18%

Teleop

149.4 67%

Endgame

34.3 15%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score161.7pts

Blue projected score244.9pts

Red win probability26%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -83.2
Score range: 129–278
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 351 vs event baseline 185.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319.2Season APEX550.5

37.8Auto40.9

107.1Teleop149.4

24.7Endgame34.3

35Consistency132

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	66
teleop	68	91
endgame	35	38
foul	5	20
total	136	215

Result

Final score

136 – 215

Prediction correct · off by 27.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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