FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

32.33 – 287.43

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

87 – 339

Prediction correct · off by 53.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 215 ±13.3

9721Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 30Event APEX -37.86Rank 39Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5256Atomics

Season APEX 72.2Event APEX -4.36Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6114Hamilton CyberHawks

Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 74.55Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.8 ±11.7

3539Byting Bulldogs

Season APEX 243.7Event APEX 156.08Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11491Bloomingdale Cardinals

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 39.88Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4003TriSonics

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 91.47Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9721, 5256, 6114

/ 100 compat

Projected

32.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 9721, 5256, 6114

Auto

8.8 34%

Teleop

0.9 3%

Endgame

16.1 62%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3539, 11491, 4003

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3539, 11491, 4003

Auto

39.6 14%

Teleop

158.5 58%

Endgame

75.7 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.65 · Blue 2.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score32.3pts

Blue projected score287.4pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -255.1
Score range: -1–320
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 426 vs event baseline 184.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

215Season APEX390.8

8.8Auto39.6

0.9Teleop158.5

16.1Endgame75.7

153Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	69
teleop	47	190
endgame	24	75
foul	0	5
total	87	339

Result

Final score

87 – 339

Prediction correct · off by 53.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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