Qualification · Qualification 26
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
143.66 – 256.79
20%80%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
142 – 294
Prediction correct · off by 19.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 279.8 ±11.2
Season APEX 120.2Event APEX 94.42Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 51.4Event APEX 2.42Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 46.82Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 477.2 ±11.2
Season APEX 298.7Event APEX 200.6Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 125.4Event APEX 56.25Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 53.1Event APEX -0.06Rank 35Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6753, 9542, 244
55
/ 100 compatProjected
143.7 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 6753, 9542, 244
Auto
19.5 14%
Teleop
70.9 51%
Endgame
47.3 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6090, 85, 5470
87
/ 100 compatProjected
256.8 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 6090, 85, 5470
Auto
62.7 24%
Teleop
136.2 52%
Endgame
64.6 25%
Strengths
- · 6090 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 67%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.11 · Blue 2.3
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score143.7pts
Blue projected score256.8pts
Red win probability20%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 67%, blue 64%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -113.1
- Score range
- 111–290
- Upset likelihood
- 20%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
279.8Season APEX477.2
19.5Auto62.7
70.9Teleop136.2
47.3Endgame64.6
123Consistency132
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 32 | 57 |
| teleop | 103 | 164 |
| endgame | 2 | 73 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 142 | 294 |
Result
Final score
142 – 294
Prediction correct · off by 19.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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