FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

173.56 – 154.84

56%44%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

118 – 207

Prediction missed · off by 53.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 220.7 ±12.2

9671Robosnacks

Season APEX 63.6Event APEX 40.49Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5610Turbulence

Season APEX 46.4Event APEX 55.4Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3357COMETS

Season APEX 110.7Event APEX 77.67Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 315.4 ±12.4

6428STEMINEERS

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 45.09Rank 36Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3458Code Blue

Season APEX 45.8Event APEX -8.42Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3572Wavelength

Season APEX 222.5Event APEX 118.17Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9671, 5610, 3357

/ 100 compat

Projected

173.6 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 9671, 5610, 3357

Auto

46.5 26%

Teleop

105.4 58%

Endgame

30.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6428, 3458, 3572

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.8 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6428, 3458, 3572

Auto

23.1 16%

Teleop

92.4 63%

Endgame

31.6 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.89 · Blue 1.5

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score173.6pts

Blue projected score154.8pts

Red win probability56%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 73%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 18.7
Score range: 122–207
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 325 vs event baseline 183.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

220.7Season APEX315.4

46.5Auto23.1

105.4Teleop92.4

30.4Endgame31.6

104Consistency188

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	28
teleop	63	114
endgame	13	65
foul	5	0
total	118	207

Result

Final score

118 – 207

Prediction missed · off by 53.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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