FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

207.96 – 195.91

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

311 – 238

Prediction correct · off by 72.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 429.1 ±12.2

11522Union HS

Season APEX 79.9Event APEX -0.83Rank 23Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1918Newaygo County GEARS

Season APEX 246.5Event APEX 142.5Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7195Twin River Robotics

Season APEX 102.7Event APEX 66.29Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295 ±12.1

6114Hamilton CyberHawks

Season APEX 112.8Event APEX 50.19Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5623Robotic Rams

Season APEX 80Event APEX 58.77Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4003TriSonics

Season APEX 102.2Event APEX 86.95Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11522, 1918, 7195

/ 100 compat

Projected

208 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11522, 1918, 7195

Auto

30.4 15%

Teleop

111.1 54%

Endgame

65.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6114, 5623, 4003

/ 100 compat

Projected

195.9 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6114, 5623, 4003

Auto

7.5 4%

Teleop

106.0 57%

Endgame

73.3 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score208pts

Blue projected score195.9pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 12.1
Score range: 164–240
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 549 vs event baseline 177.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

429.1Season APEX295

30.4Auto7.5

111.1Teleop106

65.8Endgame73.3

79Consistency132

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	57	24
teleop	149	120
endgame	105	64
foul	0	30
total	311	238

Result

Final score

311 – 238

Prediction correct · off by 72.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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