FIM District West Michigan Event presented by Grand Valley State University

Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

121.56 – 202.65

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

140 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 9.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210.1 ±13.3

3425PULSARS

Season APEX 52.3Event APEX 24.31Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6128M.O.T.O.R (More Than Our Robot)

Season APEX 101Event APEX 46.78Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9206GRP Titans

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 50.47Rank 40Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 347.5 ±11.6

74Team CHAOS

Season APEX 129.3Event APEX 105.6Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

288The RoboDawgs

Season APEX 127.3Event APEX 45.23Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

141WOBOT

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 51.82Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3425, 6128, 9206

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.6 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 3425, 6128, 9206

Auto

25.3 19%

Teleop

66.1 51%

Endgame

38.8 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 74, 288, 141

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.6 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 74, 288, 141

Auto

26.9 16%

Teleop

135.0 78%

Endgame

11.5 7%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score121.6pts

Blue projected score202.6pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -81.1
Score range: 89–236
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 342 vs event baseline 181.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210.1Season APEX347.5

25.3Auto26.9

66.1Teleop135

38.8Endgame11.5

99Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	26
teleop	71	142
endgame	43	34
foul	5	0
total	140	202

Result

Final score

140 – 202

Prediction correct · off by 9.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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